Saturday at Morphettville will see the running of South Australia’s richest race, the $750,000 Goodwood over 1200 metres.
The fourth and final Group 1 of the Adelaide Carnival has attracted a line up of sixteen sprinters with Spright a brilliant winner of the Group 1 TAB Classic (Robert Sangster Stakes) a fortnight ago set to run favourite.
Carrying co top weight of 56.5kgs the Garry Frazer prepared mare Spright is out to emulate the mighty Black Caviar who completed the Group 1 double in 2012.
Eight of the sixteen starters in Saturday’s Goodwood are from South Australian stables, the strongest representation numbers wise for the locals of the four Group 1’s run this Carnival.
It is a wonderful support card of racing for Goodwood day with six of the other seven events Black Type Races. Great depth in all races means finding a winner should guarantee nice value.
In Race Three the Dominant Queens Cup, Nashville Sound is building a nice record with three wins from eight starts, including wins at its past two outings at Penola and Warrnambool. He has strong claims to complete the hattrick on Saturday. Trained by Daniel Bowman at Warrnambool, he also sends out Golden Halo in Race Six, which was an eyecatching performance at Morphettville a fortnight ago when fifth behind Valour Road in the Euclase Stakes.
The Goody is here! The Morphetville $750k race that stops the natio….. race track. Pro cant wait! PPA will be trackside as we continue our quest to clean out the local bookies!! Follow our selections below and join PPA on our journey!
Third up in Aus and has got better each run and now gets preferred distance range.... ‘Clearly’ my best bet this weekend! 6 months ago this horse was chasing around Benbatl overseas so the field assembled here won’t create much fear. Ollie riding Morph better than anyone last few weeks and we get in just 2.5kg above the min. Has been going back in races which not our ideal runner but a small field I reckon Ollie will be 3 pairs back with cover and give us every chance to run them down.
Meets the inform ‘Absolute Flirt’ again here, after running second to it on debut. These two will no doubt fight it out for the finish once again, i'm happy to be on Balaabel around the $3 mark to see if we can turn the tables. Looks a good quinella bet to go with it and with natural improvement we will be hard to beat. Future gun!
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The greatest day of racing on the South Australian calendar is here. Seven Stakes races and the time-honoured Goodwood. Boy oh boy, this is my Christmas Day and instead of getting boring old socks and jocks the Postie is going to getting a Santa sack full of cash. Ho-ho-ho.
Once again I was on the money with She Shao Fly last week and did encourage you readers to have an each-way look at So We Are. You could say the Postie is seeing them as well as Matty Hayden against Zimbabwe back in 2003.
Onto this weekend though and there are four races I love the look of and I’m licking my lips cos there are plenty of winners to be found and money to be made!
This is always a cracking race and some of Australia’s finest horses have won this over the years including I Am Star and Toorak Toff.
Looking at recent history, winning form or Listed form has been a good guide to the National in the past seven years since moving to May. My favourite stat in that time is that no favourite has saluted and that means one thing to old Postie; value!
Last year’s winner Marcel from Madrid came from winning a Benalla maiden to clinch the Group 3 paying a lazy $12 and working on those kind of form lines and am going with the $7.50 chance, Ginny Ann.
Her win was a massive at Warrnambool over 1000m and it looks like the extra 200m will suit her perfectly. The big danger will be the favourite Balaabel who ran on super in the Queen Adelaide but stats say favourites don’t win so who am I to argue with history!
The RA Lee is another of the great Goodwood Day races. Names like Land of Plenty, Linton and Serious Speed have their name etched on this trophy and I can probably give the engraver a heads up on who he should be making this year’s trophy out to.
This one’s pretty simple. Over the last six years the winner has been a last start winner and the average winning price has been $3.30.
Looking at this year’s field, there are only three last start winners in Fastnet Tempest, All Too Huiying and Curragh and when we look at the prices, Fastnet Tempest is sitting there at $4. Lock and load that readers. The six-year-old loves the mile and the Lindsay Park team will have him primed for this one.
Over recent years this race has been won by horses bouncing back from the Sangster or Euclase a fortnight prior. The Postie can see this happening again this year with his main chances being Humma Humma and Golden Halo from the Euclase and Lady Cosmology and Princess of Queens from the Sangster.
The recent winners have also been well supported in the market and won at single figure odds which is why I’m going to lean to Princess of Queens here. She and Lady Cosmology look the ones from the Sangster but I like the Princess’ barrier a lot more than the Lady’s.
With a bit more luck this week, The Queen of SA racing, Jamie Kah should get a much better crack at a win and the Postie has always been a big fan of Mick Price, who won this race last year. The two should form a lethal combination and ensure us of a nice little fill up just before the big Group 1.
The big one. The big enchilada. The Group 1 Goodwood.
Some of Australia’s best sprinters have won this great race and we look to be in for a big treat once again this year.
With a strong field of sixteen we’re going to have to break this down by process of elimination here. So in the last twenty years, only three horses have won without a Group victory to their name.
Eliminating those runners in this race takes nine from the field of sixteen, meaning we are left with seven genuine chances.
They are: Booker, Spright, Despatch, Hard Empire, Valour Road, Cool Passion and Jamaican Rain.
From that in the last ten years, three of the winners have come out of the Sangster. I think that the Sangster form is going to be mighty hard to beat here and while two of those Goodwood winners were Sangster winners, on this occasion the Postie is looking past the favourite and looking at Cool Passion.
She ran one hell of a gutsy race in the Sangster and it took a bit of brilliance from Spright to nail them down the outside late. While she’s a star, I feel that she’s going to need a bit more luck to produce that run on Saturday, which is why I’m backing in another strong front running ride from Barend Vorster on Cool Passion.
She gets gate two, the perfect opportunity to lead and this time should make it just too hard for the swoopers to get her. After Saturday they’ll be saying “Back Barend, drink no-end”
Good luck on Saturday punters, it’s been a real pleasure delivering the mail over the last couple months.
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